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US: Focus on equities and FOMC Minutes – BBH Sandeep Kanihama

Analysts at BBH suggest that the focus in North America will be on the performance of US equities, in addition to the release of January FOMC Minutes.  Key Quotes“In terms of data, the preliminary Markit PMIs may draw some interest, and existing home sales for January may surprise on the upside (0.5% expected).  The FOMC minutes from the January mee...

16:00 21 February /2018 Forex

US: January FOMC minutes to take centre stage today - TDS Sandeep Kanihama

In the US session, Minutes to the January 31st FOMC are the most noteworthy event amid a slow week for economic data, according to analysts at TDS.Key Quotes“With a March rate hike fully priced, markets will look past any clues about the timing of the next rate hike and focus on the pace of rate hikes going forward. Philadelphia Fed ...

16:00 21 February /2018 Forex

GBP: Wage growth? - Rabobank Sandeep Kanihama

Sterling softened in response to this morning’s release of the latest UK report as slower than expected employment growth in December, a tick higher in the unemployment rate and the inability of earnings growth to allow real wages to push higher all contributed to the disappointment, explains Jane Foley, FX Strategist at Rabobank. Key Quotes“There was little reaction in the money ...

16:00 21 February /2018 Forex

EUR/USD weaker, 1.2300 looms closer ahead of FOMC Pablo Piovano

The sentiment around the European currency stays depressed so far this week and is now dragging EUR/USD to challenge the critical support at the 1.2300 handle.EUR/USD focused on FOMCSpot keeps grinding lower on Wednesday and has opened the door for a potential test of 1.2300 the figure in case the prevailing...

15:23 21 February /2018 Forex

GBP/USD drops to one week lows, near 1.39 handle ahead of BOE’s inflation hearings Haresh Menghani

   •  Mixed UK jobs data triggers the initial leg of weakness.
   •  USD strength/Brexit headlines add to the downward pressure.
   •  BOE’s inflation hearings/FOMC minutes eyed for fresh impetus.The GBP/USD pair extended its rejection slide from the key 1.40 psychological mark and refreshed one-week lows in the last hour of trading.Bulls o...

15:23 21 February /2018 Forex

GBP under pressure – BBH Sandeep Kanihama

Analysts at BBH note that Sterling has been weakened by two developments and first among them is that some 62 Conservatives have pressed Prime Minister May for a quick and clean break from the EU (hard line).  Key Quotes“May is expected to clarify the response to the EU's negotiating position.  Second, the UK's unemployment rate unexpectedly ticked up (4.4% from 4.3%) in the three...

15:00 21 February /2018 Forex

AUD/USD keeps the red near one-week lows, around mid-0.7800s Haresh Menghani

   •  Weighed down by weaker Aussie construction data.
   •  The ongoing USD rebound exerts additional pressure.
   •  FOMC meeting minutes to provide fresh impetus.The AUD/USD pair trimmed some of its early steep losses and has managed to bounce off around 20-pips from one-week lows, set earlier today.The pair extended its retracement slid...

14:46 21 February /2018 Forex

UK PM May: still wants Brexit transition period of around 2-years – RTRS Haresh Menghani

According to Reuters, citing government source, the UK PM Theresa May's position is unchanged and still wants a Brexit transition phase of around 2 years.The headlines seems to have prompted some fresh selling around the GBP/USD pair, which was already being weighed down by today's mixed UK jobs data. The key focus, however, would remain on the BOE...

14:46 21 February /2018 Forex

Riksbank’s Jansson: signs that global inflation is on its way up - RTRS Haresh Menghani

Per Jansson, Deputy Governor of the Riksbank, is out on the wires, via Reuters, saying that January inflation outcome was lower than expected but there are visible signs that global inflation is on its way up. He further added that recent turbulence in markets doesn't threaten upbeat global economic outlook.

14:00 21 February /2018 Forex

EUR/USD looks to FOMC, US yields – Danske Bank Pablo Piovano

The pair remains weak and vigilant on the upcoming release of the FOMC minutes, while higher yields should also collaborate with the downside pressure, according to Jens Sorensen, Chief Analyst at Danske Bank.Key QuotesEUR/USD is under continued downward pressure as the USD weakness trend has been challenge...

14:00 21 February /2018 Forex

ECB’s Vasiliauskas: QE should be tapered, not ‘ended suddenly’ Dhwani Mehta

Following are the comments delivered by the ECB Governing Council member Vasiliauskas during an interview with Reuters today.QE should be tapered, not ‘ended suddenly’.Rising EZ bond yields and Euro rate are normal given strong economy.Have not seen unwarranted tightening of financial conditions.Appropriate to rephrase ECB guidance t...

13:46 21 February /2018 Forex

Japan: Steady buying of AUD bonds, could slow ahead - Nomura Sandeep Kanihama

Japanese investors maintained a solid pace of AUD bond buying in December, with purchases again running at an above-average pace, notes the research team at Nomura.Key Quotes“Interestingly, this has been increasingly tilted towards bonds issued by Australian residents over the past few months, rather than Kangaroos including SSAs. December also capped another solid year for Japane...

13:46 21 February /2018 Forex

EUR/GBP recovery to 0.9034 not ruled out – Commerzbank Pablo Piovano

In view of Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, the European cross could still attempt a bull run to the 0.9030 area.Key QuotesEUR/GBP is basically in the middle of its range. The market last week reversed just ahead of the .8926 mid January high and the 8956 top of the channel. In...

13:46 21 February /2018 Forex

Further dollar weakness may be in store - Goldman Sachs Dhwani Mehta

In its note to clients, Zach Pandl, co-head of global foreign exchange and emerging markets strategy at Goldman Sachs, wrote that the outlook for the US dollar looks bleak, given the improving global economic growth.Key Quotes via Bloomberg:“A favorable risk environment has tended to go hand-...

13:46 21 February /2018 Forex

GBP/USD consolidative near term – UOB Pablo Piovano

FX Strategists at UOB Group noted that Cable faces extra consolidation in the near term.Key Quotes24-hour view: “While GBP closed largely unchanged yesterday, the registered range of 1.3932/1.4025 was much lower than out expected 1.3960/1.4050 consolidation range. Indicator...

13:46 21 February /2018 Forex

WTI regains $ 61 mark, but still down -1% Dhwani Mehta

WTI (oil futures on NYMEX) is seen making minor recovery attempts back above the 61 handle, but remains heavily offered for the second straight session ahead of the US EIA crude stockpiles data.  The barrel of WTI keeps losses, as the sentiment remains dented by ongoing US dollar buyi...

13:23 21 February /2018 Forex

EUR/USD: Under continued downward pressure – Danske Bank Sandeep Kanihama

Chief Analyst, Jens Peter Sørensen at Danske Bank, explains that EUR/USD is under continued downward pressure as the USD weakness trend has been challenged by a continued uptick in US yields: whereas the latter has until recently been driven by rising US inflation expectations.Key Quotes“We may be starting to see the first signs of the market pri...

13:23 21 February /2018 Forex

GBP futures: liquidation poised to continue Pablo Piovano

In light of preliminary data for GBP futures markets from CME Group, open interest rose marginally by almost 600 contracts on Tuesday vs. Friday’s188,230 contracts. In the same line, volume reverted two consecutive declines and rose by nearly 48.2k contracts.GBP/USD room for a visit to 1.376513:23 21 February /2018 Forex

EUR futures: extra downside likely near term Pablo Piovano

CME Group’s advanced figures for EUR futures markets showed investors trimmed their open interest positions by more than 1.1K contracts on Tuesday vs. Friday’s final 578,630 contracts. Volume, instead, rose significantly by more than 93K contracts, recording the second consecutive build at the same time.EUR/USD: scope for a test of 1.2200 and beyondThe ongoing leg lower in

12:46 21 February /2018 Forex

UK Jan jobs mixed: Claimant count drops unexpectedly, jobless rate climbs Dhwani Mehta

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) noted on Wednesday, the UK’s official jobless rate came in at 4.4% in December, while the claimant count figures surprised positively.The number of people claiming jobless benefits dropped unexpectedly by 7.2k in December, against expectations of a 4.1k increase and 6.2k (revised from 8.6k) seen previously. The claimant count rate also drop...

12:46 21 February /2018 Forex