Forex

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When is the BoJ decision and how could it affect USD/JPY? Omkar Godbole

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is set to announce the interest rate decision and publish the monetary policy statement today and the flow of information is expected to begin between 03:00 and 03:30 GMT.BOJ to keep policy steadyAll 47 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg do not expect the BOJ to make any ch...

05:46 27 April /2018 Forex

NZD/USD makes a new low as Asia markets sag Joshua Gibson

The Kiwi knocked into a fresh low for April, with the NZD/USD striking 0.7050 in Tokyo's early Friday session before rebounding back into the 0.7065 region.Friday is focused on the Bank of Japan (BoJ) with their impending Rate Decision and outlook report, now that Kiwi Trade Balance figures missed expectations with the MoM March trade balance...

05:23 27 April /2018 Forex

Gold slips into lows once more, eyes on $1,315 Joshua Gibson

Gold is trading on the low side after falling in Thursday's trading, testing into 1,315.00.Gold fell into fresh lows for April after the US Dollar kicked up slightly during the American trading session yesterday, even as equities gained on the day with the S&P lifting ...

04:46 27 April /2018 Forex

ECB's Draghi: caution and concern - Westpac Ross J Burland

Analysts at Westpac noted that the ECB left policy and the wording of their statement unchanged, as universally expected. Key Quotes:"The tone of the press conference and Q&A was of caution and concern over the recent moderation in activity despite their continued confidence in achieving their targets. Pre...

04:00 27 April /2018 Forex

USD/JPY tucked below 109.50 and cloud top, BoJ coming up Ross J Burland

USD/JPY is open in Tokyo consolidated at the 21 and 10-hr smas holding around the familiar 109.30 level, having posted a daily high at 109.37 and low at 109.26 and sub the highest levels since February of this year. USD/JPY was capped by yesterday's barrier defence, exposing the cloud top again now at 109.00, just below the rising 21-4hr sma at. However, the dollar remains firm on the 91 handle in...

03:46 27 April /2018 Forex

EUR/USD: Bearish bias is strongest since Feb. 27 Omkar Godbole

The EUR/USD one-month 25 delta risk reversals (EUR1MRR) fell to -0.525 today - the lowest level since Feb. 27, signaling the implied volatility premium for the EUR put options is significantly higher than that of the EUR calls. About ten days ago, the risk reversals gauge stood at 0.025, meaning the implied volatility premium for...

03:46 27 April /2018 Forex

Forex today: ECB cautious, dollar rally continues Ross J Burland

Forex today was dictated by the ECB in the main with a close eye on US yields where the benchmark slipped below the 3% psychological level while the dollar maintained the 91 handle, supported by surprise data beats.Meanwhile, the session got off to an early start in NY with the ECB leaving policy and the wording of their statement unchanged. At first, the euro went bid on the release of the statem...

02:46 27 April /2018 Forex

USD/JPY: a bottom in place? 110 handle is significant- UOB Ross J Burland

Analysts at UOB Group noted the dollar's resilience and higher levels for USD/JPY.Key Quotes:"While in overbought territory, the rally appears to have scope to extend higher to the next resistance at 109.70""We attach high importance to 110.00 as ...

02:46 27 April /2018 Forex

NZD/JPY: Kiwi non-reactive to Trade Balance miss, all eyes on BoJ rate call Joshua Gibson

The NZD/JPY is trading quietly heading into Friday's session, but sticking near recent lows just above the 77.00 handle.The Kiwi failed to react noticeably to New Zealand Trade Balance figures, dipping for single-digit pips before recovering quickly. New Zealand's YoY Trade Balance declined by $3.42 billion, worse than the expected $-2.9 billion, while the previously reported figure was also revis...

02:46 27 April /2018 Forex

EUR/USD: fell sharply in response to Draghi’s press conference - Westpac Ross J Burland

Analysts at Westpac noted that the ECB left policy and the wording of their statement unchanged, as universally expected. Key Quotes:"The tone of the press conference and Q&A was of caution and concern over the recent moderation in activity despite their continued confidence in achieving their targets. Pre...

01:23 27 April /2018 Forex

Wall Street stocks surge higher on better earnings and sub-3% on 10-year yields Flavio Tosti

US stocks surged higher on Thursday as quarterly earnings beat analysts’ estimates and the 10-year US Treasury yields pulled back from the high made at 3.035% to currently trade down in the 2.981% region. Investors were getting scared that if Treasury yields soared too high it would force people out of risky assets such as stocks into cash.On Thursday, April 26, the S&P 500 rose 1.1% to close ...

00:23 27 April /2018 Forex

USD/JPY: key data ahead today - Scotiabank Ross J Burland

Analysts at Scotiabank noted that Japan releases Tokyo area CPI, retail sales, industrial production and employment data this evening. Key Quotes:"We think the BoJ will struggle to make clear progress towards its 2% inflation target in the medium term and will therefore retain an accommodative policy bias even...

00:23 27 April /2018 Forex

BoJ on the cards today: what's in store? - Westpac Ross J Burland

Analysts at Westpac noted that the Bank of Japan reviews monetary policy today (no fixed time but usually early afternoon Sydney time – recent announcements were in the 1:30-2:30pm Syd window). Key Quotes:"No change is likely in the key policy settings: a benchmark -0.1% deposit rate, “around” 0% yield on the 10 year government bond and an annual JPY80 trillion expansion in bond h...

00:23 27 April /2018 Forex

Fundamental and Political wrap: ECB confident but cautious Ross J Burland

From a fundamental perspective, the ECB stole the show. As expected, the central bank held the refinancing rate unchanged at 0.00%, and purchases, maintaining its forward guidance. After a relatively dovish message in March, where the ECB surprised markets by signalling it was on track to end its stimulus program before the en...

23:23 26 April /2018 Forex

ECB: confident but more cautious in future outlook - ANZ Ross J Burland

Analysts at ANZ explained that the ECB’s confidence that inflation will return to target over the medium term is “untempered” despite some loss of momentum in Q1 growth.Key Quotes:"The ECB expects a solid, broad based expansion to continue but will monitor incoming data closely. It is uncertain whether the rec...

22:46 26 April /2018 Forex

USD/JPY a sell here? Dollar is strong for 'bad' reasons - Nomura Ross J Burland

Analysts at Nomura explained that the dollar has seen a bounce-back this week as US 10yr yields climb above 3%. We think the dollar rally is actually for “bad” reasons – it seems unlikely that yields are moving higher through growth repricing (the data have been good for some time now).Key Quotes:"Instead, we think rising commodity prices driven by geopolitical tensions are the mo...

21:00 26 April /2018 Forex

EUR/USD after ECB: Still strategically long - Danske Bank Matías Salord

Analysts at Danske Bank expect the next change in forward guidance from the European Central Bank to come in July. They  continue to stress that EUR/USD remains at risk from stretched positioning and US cyclical outperformance on growth and rates alike. Key Quotes: “While EUR/USD edged lower to test January lows in the 1.2...

21:00 26 April /2018 Forex

So what will happen with the ECB? - Natixis Ross J Burland

Analysts at Natixis argued that the ECB’s scenario is probably that interest rates will gradually be normalised between mid-2019 and the end of 2021. Key Quotes:"The belated start of this normalisation is due to the low level of inflation in the euro zone.""But what will happen if euro-zone growth slows down from the second...

20:23 26 April /2018 Forex

Bitcoin price analysis: BTC/USD takes a bounce off key support, after the attack by market bears as the price their runs into their territory Ken Chigbo

 The Bitcoin price is trading in negative territory will small losses on Thursday, but the price makes a bounce back after the heavy selling pressure endured on Wednesday. Bitcoin managed to receive support at an ascending trend line, $8,700-8,600.BTC/USD on Wednesday ran into...

17:46 26 April /2018 Forex

EUR/USD collapses to 3-month lows… 1.20 back on the radar? Pablo Piovano

After testing the 1.2200 neighbourhood, EUR/USD quickly plummeted to the area of 1.2120/15, or fresh multi-month lows.EUR/USD failed just ahead of 1.2200The pair’s earlier spike to fresh daily highs near 1.2200 the figure was ephemeral, as sellers rapidly stepped in following 17:46 26 April /2018 Forex