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Fed: An eternity between now and July – RBC CM Sandeep Kanihama

09:23 23 May /2016 Forex

Research Team at RBC Capital Markets, suggests that while recent Fed rhetoric and a surprisingly hawkish set of Minutes for the April meeting have certainly forced implied rate hike probabilities higher throughout the 2016 horizon, we still think it is nearly impossible for the committee to raise rates in June.

Key Quotes

“Additionally, we think a lot of things have to align in order for the Fed to justify a lift at the July confab. September is still complicated by Money Market reform and November (the meeting is on the 2nd) falls right on top of the US Presidential Election. So despite events of recent days, our core view is that the most likely timing for the next hike is December. That being said, we also acknowledge that many committee members seem to now view July as an attractive candidate for raising rates.”

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Risk aversion: Invisible but it isn’t dead - Westpac

Sean Callow, Research Analyst at Westpac, suggests that the main revelation for markets in the past week is that risk aversion may have been almost invisible since November but it isn’t dead.Key Quotes“AUD/USD reached 0.7750 on Tuesday, its highest level since 9 November, just ahead

09:23 23 March /2017 Forex

Inflation: Impact has been visible globally – Lloyds Bank Sandeep Kanihama

Research Team at Lloyds Bank points out that the impact on inflation trends has been visible globally. Key Quotes“Following a benign start to the year, Brent crude oil prices turned down in early March, falling below $51. Sentiment was driven lower by signs that US crude oil stocks

09:23 23 March /2017 Forex