Forex

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NZD/USD clocks fresh 4-month high of 0.7354 Omkar Godbole

Having built a base around 0.7261 (61.8% Fib R of July-Nov drop) last week, Kiwi jumped to a fresh 4-month high of 0.7354 today.As of writing, the currency pair is trading at 0.7347 levels and looks set to extend gains, courtesy of yesterday's bullish outside day candle, ascending 5-day MA and 10-day MA and broad-based USD weakness. However, the rally contradicts the depressed yield differential. ...

05:00 23 January /2018 Forex

GBP/USD rises above 1.40 for the first since post-Brexit vote Omkar Godbole

GBP/USD clocked a  new post-Brexit vote high of 1.4003 and was last seen trading at 1.3990 levels. As discussed yesterday, the rally looks unjustified if we take into account the widening 10-year UK-US yield spread. Also, the RSI has diverged on 1-hour and 4-hour time frame (has not made news highs along with price), signaling the potential f...

04:23 23 January /2018 Forex

USD/JPY: is 111 territory going to be alarming for BoJ? Ross J Burland

The yen was squaring up ahead of the BoJ in case of a no tightening bias while bulls were capped at 111.23 in NY. USD/JPY is trading at 110.92, down -0.04% on the day, having posted a daily high at 111.01 and low at 110.86.USD/JPY is finding support on the back of the shutdown deal in Washington and the major is buoyed by downside failures of 110.50 with multiple...

04:00 23 January /2018 Forex

AUD/USD - Highest daily close since September Omkar Godbole

Despite the relentless rise in the treasury yields and the overbought conditions, the Aussie dollar closed above 0.80 yesterday - its highest close since September 19. As of writing, the AUD/USD pair is trading at 0.8005 levels and the 10-year US Treasury yield is flatlined at 2.66 percent. Meanwhile, the 2-year yield is trading at 2.07 percent. The 2-year treasu...

03:46 23 January /2018 Forex

Key central bank meetings ahead - UOB Ross J Burland

Analysts at UOB noted the two key Central Banks meeting this week.Key Quotes:"The Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Tuesday is expected to maintain the status quo with its policy rate and 10-year yield target at -0.10% and around 0.0% respectively. Despite a slight uptick in inflation and recent upbeat data releases, price momentum is still below the 2% target rate. The first decision of the year by the Euro...

03:00 23 January /2018 Forex

Event risks coming up? - Westpac Ross J Burland

Analysts at Westpac explained the key event risk for the day ahead.Key Quotes:"The Bank of Japan's January policy meeting will be the centre of attention for markets today.""The latest outlook on the economy is due, and participants will be keen to see if a more confident tone is struck.""We see a material change regarding the stance of policy as highly unlikely.""Also, ZEW invest...

02:00 23 January /2018 Forex

Forex today: dollar weaker against most G10's. Ross J Burland

With a lack of data, apart from Sterling, the FX space was subdued in the main with most participants focused on the upcoming US corporate earnings and the US government shutdown mostly ignored. Earnings continue to pump up equities, while the benchmarks were lifting between 0.3-0.7% to make fresh record highs.Elsewhere, the USD was weaker against most of the G10's while the treasury curve flatten...

01:23 23 January /2018 Forex

Five reasons why the BOJ cannot move to normalize monetary policy - Nomura Ross J Burland

Analysts at Nomura explained five factors of impending monetary policy normalization in respect to the boJ this week.Key Quotes:"Yen appreciation since purchase operation tapering symbolizes difficulty of normalization.""The BOJ's reduction to its JGB purchase operations at the beginning of 2018 has led to heightened expectations and...

00:00 23 January /2018 Forex

EUR/GBP: riding the coattails of cable's 1.40 target rally Ross J Burland

EUR/GBP is downside was opened up today and the taps are still flowing into the close of the US session as cable has a look in at the 1.40 handle with a fresh high for the session at 1.3990.Eyes on the ECBOn the break of EUR/GBP's  200 DMA, its all clean fresh air on the way to 1.40 for the pound and with the DXY trading in the dumps...

23:46 22 January /2018 Forex

EUR/USD: neutral - bullish - Scotiabank Ross J Burland

Analysts at Scotiabank are neutral—bullish for EUR/USD in the short term.Key quotes:"Momentum indicators are softening and DMI’s are suggestive of a shift in the balance of risk. We await a break of the one week range bound between the mid-1.21s and 1.2320. Near-term support is expected between 1.2220 and 1....

23:46 22 January /2018 Forex

AUD/USD hovering around 0.8000, near January highs Matías Salord

The AUD/USD pair is about to end the day with modest gains. It peaked at the beginning of the US session at 0.8026 and then pulled back toward 0.8000 after US lawmakers reached an agreement to end the US government shutdown. During the last hours, AUD/USD has been steady, consolidating around 0.8000. The pair remains near January highs, holding a bullish tone. It is unable to move away from the 0....

22:47 22 January /2018 Forex

Gold steadies above $1330, looks to close the day flat Eren Sengezer

After experiencing heightened volatility during the NA session, the XAU/USD pair went into a consolidation phase a little above the $1330 handle in the last couple of hours. As of writing, the pair was trading virtually unchanged on the day at $1332.The greenback remained under a constant selling pressure for the majority of the day on Monday as investors stayed focused on the political developmen...

22:23 22 January /2018 Forex

EUR/USD remains sideways near 1.2250 Matías Salord

The EUR/USD pair continued to move near the 1.2250 area. The pair dropped to 1.2222 after Democrats and Republicans at the Senate reached a deal to end the US government shutdown. It was trading at 1.2245, up 25 pips from Friday’s close. The greenback rose marginally after the deal to end the 3-day shutdown. Equity prices in Wall Street jumped to near record high...

22:23 22 January /2018 Forex

USD/JPY surges above 111 as US government shutdown comes to an end Eren Sengezer

The USD/JPY pair gained traction in the last hour and broke above the 111 handle to refresh its daily high at 111.22. As of writing, the pair was trading at 111.12, adding 0.38% on the day.Earlier in the session, NBC reported that the U.S. Senate had enough votes to approve the stopgap bill, which would bring the government shutdown to an end. Democratic Leader S...

22:00 22 January /2018 Forex

USD/CAD: where to from here? - Scotiabank Ross J Burland

Analysts at Scotiabank explained that CAD is up from Friday’s close, a mid-performer among the G10 in an environment of broad-based USD weakness.Key Quotes:"Headline risk is elevated in the context of the U.S. government shutdown and NAFTA negotiations scheduled through Jan 29. In terms of domestic risk, we highlight the importance of Thursday’s retail sales and Friday’s CPI data....

21:46 22 January /2018 Forex

GBP/USD on the way to 1.4000 or back towards 1.3730? Ross J Burland

GBP/USD has been capped on its rally with some profit taking as traders await details around developments of the US government shutdown. Currently, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3943, up 0.58% on the day, having posted a daily high at 1.3972 and low at 1.3857.Senators failed to come to an agreement to end it late Sunday night and a vote was scheduled for noon Monday t...

20:23 22 January /2018 Forex

Merkel’s CDU and Germany’s SPD coalition talks are set to begin Tuesday - Scotiabank Ross J Burland

Analysts at Scotiabank explained that the EUR is up from Friday’s close, range bound and consolidating just below last Tuesday’s multi-year high. Key Quotes:"Germany’s SPD has voted to proceed with coalition negotiations with Merkel’s CDU and talks are set to begin Tuesday. ECB risk is elevated heading into Thursday’s meeting as mark...

20:23 22 January /2018 Forex

NZD/USD tests multi-month highs above 0.73 Eren Sengezer

Ater starting the day below the 0.73 mark, the NZD/USD pair moved in a confined range before gathering momentum during the European session. Following a decisive break above the 0.73 handle, the pair advanced to a fresh four-month high 0.7330 and was last seen trading at 0.7326, where it was up 0.75% on the day.The pair's latest upsurge seems to be a product of t...

20:00 22 January /2018 Forex

WTI: a mixed bag of fundamentals, bearish 'hanging man' candle Ross J Burland

The price of WTI seems to be stabilising and dipped lower after reaching a high of $60.47 on 14th Jan. In fact, oil posted its biggest weekly loss in at least a month last week when the IEA predicted that U.S. shale production would hit levels not seen since the 1970s.While pressured by concerns over growing U.S. oil production, the bulls were able to ...

19:01 22 January /2018 Forex

GBP/USD on the march, watching wages this week - Scotiabank Ross J Burland

Analysts at Scotiabank explained that GBP is up vs. the USD and rising in tandem with most of its G10 peers in an environment of broad-based USD weakness. Key Quotes:"Domestic risk is limited ahead of Wednesday’s employment and Friday’s Q4 GDP figures. Wednesday’s wages will be closely scrutinized with risk to the BoE outlook. BoE Go...

19:00 22 January /2018 Forex