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NZ: Business confidence turned sharply negative - ANZ Sandeep Kanihama

Sharon Zollner, Chief Economist at ANZ, notes that New Zealand’s business confidence turned sharply negative this month as uncertainty around changing Government policy, a softer housing market, and difficulty getting credit are likely culprits.Key Quotes“Weakness was apparent across all activity indicators, but pricing intentions, inflation expectations and interest rates expecta...

07:46 30 November /2017 Forex

Australian Q3 capex survey: Currently, business investment is on the rise – Westpac Sandeep Kanihama

Andrew Hanlan, Research Analyst at Westpac, notes that for September quarter, Australia’s private business capex spending advanced by 1.0%, meeting the median market expectation but exceeding their forecast of -0.3%.Key Quotes“By asset,“By industry: mining 0.0%; services +2.1%; and manufacturing -2.7%.”“The surprise here is that mining investment was flat in the quarter – which fo...

07:46 30 November /2017 Forex

Nasdaq plans Bitcoin futures contract in 2018

Reuters quoted a source with knowledge of the matter, citing that Nasdaq Inc plans to launch a futures contract based on bitcoin in 2018.Key Details:Nasdaq has teamed up with New York-based money manager VanEck to develop the futures contract, which will be cleared by the Options Clearing...

07:23 30 November /2017 Forex

NDRC: China's overseas investments still have large growth potential

China’s top state planner, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) highlighted in its latest report that China’s overseas investments still have relatively large growth potential, despite some growing challenges, Reuters reports.Key Points:Growing protectionist tendencies among some countries have affected Chinese firms; normal investments overseas....

07:23 30 November /2017 Forex

Gold risk reversals adopt a bearish bias Omkar Godbole

Gold's decline from near $1300 levels to $1282 yesterday pushed the risk reversals gauge into the negative as expected.Risk reversals07:23 30 November /2017 Forex

Australia: Oct dwelling approvals up 0.9% - Westpac Sandeep Kanihama

Matthew Hassan, Research Analyst at Westpac, notes that Australia’s Oct dwelling approvals were up 0.9% as surprise jump in Vic offsets sharp falls in other states.Key Quotes“Dwelling approvals again surprised to the upside in Oct, posting a 0.9% rise against expectations of a 1% decline.”“The detail shows a very sharp rise in Vic approvals, up 24.3% in the month, more than offset...

07:23 30 November /2017 Forex

NZ business confidence plunged in November 2017 – Westpac Sandeep Kanihama

New Zealand business confidence plunged in November (-39.9) and firms’ own activity outlook also took a dive falling to levels not seen since 2009 near the end of the Global Financial Crisis, points out Shyamal Maharaj, Research Analyst at Westpac.Key Quotes“The drop in confidence probably partly reflects the general softening we have seen across a number of areas in the economy r...

07:23 30 November /2017 Forex

G10 FX Seasonality: Count us skeptics – Goldman Sachs Sandeep Kanihama

Analysts at Goldman Sachs, suggest that many FX market participants believe that some currencies display seasonal behavior, weakening in some months but strengthening in others. Usually, the story goes, these patterns are related to large portfolio flows around key dates in the corporate or fiscal calendar, they further add.Key Quotes“Traditionally, this has been especially prevalen...

07:23 30 November /2017 Forex

Canadian official: North Korea meeting seeks 'better ideas' to solve crisis - RTRS Dhwani Mehta

Andrew Leslie, parliamentary secretary to the Canadian Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland, told Reuters late on Wednesday, an international meeting in Canada on North Korea in January is called to produce “better ideas” to ease tensions over the North Korean nuke threats.Leslie noted, “By discussing the various options out on the table, by listening to ... the local wisdom of the ...

07:00 30 November /2017 Forex

AUD/USD - Bearish consensus building for 2018 - Reuters News Omkar Godbole

Reuters forex news report says, "a number of investment banks are building a bearish case for the AUD/USD to play out in 2018." It adds, "don't be surprised to see a number of sub-70 cent calls for AUD/USD when the major banks release their 2018 forecasts before year-end."Key pointsbears are focused on central bank expectations and interest rate differentials, but there is also some concern over C...

07:00 30 November /2017 Forex

UK consumer sentiment sinks to 16-month low - Reuters

The GfK consumer confidence index dropped by 2 points to -12 in November, its lowest since July 2016.Also, GfK said households' willingness to make major purchases fell to its lowest level since October 2014 in bad news for retailers in the run-up to Christmas.Elsewhere, Lloyds Bank showed business confidence slipped this month with their economic optimism the lowest since June 2016, although, Bri...

06:47 30 November /2017 Forex

Goldman Sachs’ Currie: Bitcoin is a commodity Dhwani Mehta

Jeff Currie, Goldman Sachs' head of commodities research, explained in an interview with Bloomberg TV why he believes that Bitcoin is a commodity, instead of a security or a currency.Key Quotes via Business Insider:"It's a commodity. A security, by definition, has a liability attached to it. Take a dollar...

06:47 30 November /2017 Forex

Japan fund managers increase overall stock holdings, but trim bond holdings – RTRS poll Dhwani Mehta

The outcome of the latest Reuters poll of the Japanese fund managers showed that they increased their overall stock holdings in Nov to 37.7% from 37.3% in Oct.Meanwhile, Japan’s fund managers trimmed their exposure in the bond to 56.9% in Nov from 57.5% seen in Oct.

06:46 30 November /2017 Forex

GBP/USD nears 1.35 on Brexit optimism, eyes US core PCE Omkar Godbole

GBP/USD remained bid in Asia and extended gains to a fresh two-month high of 1.3480 as the absence of festive cheer as shown by the gauge of consumer sentiment was overshadowed by Brexit optimism.The GfK consumer confidence index dropped by 2 points to -12 in November, its lowest since July 2016. The details revealed that households' willin...

06:46 30 November /2017 Forex

EUR/USD: Eyes on yield-differential ahead of EZ CPI and US core PCE Dhwani Mehta

The EUR/USD pair broke its overnight consolidative mode in the Asian trades and went on to post session tops at 1.1871 levels amid renewed weakness seen in the US dollar across the board, as attention now turns towards the inflation figures from both continents for the next direction.   EUR/USD: Upbeat German Prelim ...

06:46 30 November /2017 Forex

WTI holds below 1H 200-MA, eyes OPEC decision Omkar Godbole

WTI oil dropped for the third straight day yesterday to a low of $56.76 and holds below the 1-hour 200-MA as investors await the OPEC decision.As of writing, WTI front-month contract is trading flatlined at $57.30 levels. The 1-hour 200-MA is located at $57.35 levels. The upside is being capped by conflicting statements by major producers on the path for an extension of the group's supply-cut agre...

06:00 30 November /2017 Forex

Goldman Sachs warns that market valuations are at their highest since 1900 Dhwani Mehta

In its latest note published this week, Goldman Sachs International strategists including Christian Mueller-Glissman, warned of potential downside risks ahead, as a prolonged bull market across stocks, bonds and credit has left a measure of average valuation at the highest since 1900.Key Quotes:“It has seldom been the case that equities, bonds, and credit have been similarly expen...

06:00 30 November /2017 Forex

NZD/USD: Bulls rescued by better China PMI, 0.6900 back on sight? Dhwani Mehta

The offered tone around the NZD weakened slightly, following the release of better-than-expected Chinese manufacturing PMI report, taking the NZD/USD pair away from the six-day lows of 0.6834 levels.NZD/USD: Shorts-squeeze short-livedThe spot extends its retreat from almost 2-week tops of 0.6946 into a third day today, with the po...

05:46 30 November /2017 Forex

US Ambassador to UN calls on all countries to cut off all ties to N. Korea Dhwani Mehta

Nikki Haley, the US Ambassador to the United Nations (UN), urged all the economies to increase the economic pressure on North Korea.Key Points:                           Calls on all countries to cut off all ties to N.Korea including all trade and expelling all N. Korean workers.N.Korea's missile launch was more advanced.N. Korea's threat is growi...

05:23 30 November /2017 Forex

GBP/JPY - Above 150.00 and at 4-week high Omkar Godbole

GBP/JPY moved above 150.00 yesterday and has extended the rally to a 4-week high of 150.83 on Brexit optimism.Markets started pricing in Brexit optimism after Ireland’s EU Commissioner Phil Hogan said that he expects "movement" on the issue of the Irish border in the next few days, which has been a sticking point.Meanwhile, the uptick in the treasury yields is k...

05:23 30 November /2017 Forex