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WTI in multi-day tops near $53.50 Pablo Piovano

Crude oil prices have resumed the upside today, now pushing the barrel of West Texas Intermediate to fresh daily peaks above the $53.00 mark.WTI attention to Trump, dataPrices for the WTI are challenging multi-day tops above the $53.00 handle at the end of the week, gaining more than $2 since weekly lows around the $51.00 neighbourhood.Crude price...

18:46 20 January /2017 Forex

Trump inauguration speech preview: What to expect of the US dollar? Matías Salord

In a less than two hours, Donald Trump will deliver a historic speech: the inaugural speech. The uncertainty surrounding Trump’s behavior and its policies, create an environment were his first words as President could impact financial markets. So far, Trump’s name is being associated with uncertainty. US: Start of a new era in ...

18:46 20 January /2017 Forex

Emerging Markets: Mexico lowers FDI forecast - BBH

Research Team at BHH notes the changes in the EM local currency bond space, Turkey (10-year yield -10 bp), Brazil (-10 bp), and Malaysia (-4 bp) have outperformed this week, while Poland (10-year yield +11 bp), Colombia (+8 bp), and Czech Republic (+7 bp) have underperformed.  To put this in better context, the 10-year UST yield rose 9 bp this week to 2.49%.In the EM FX space, PEN (+1.6% vs. USD),...

18:23 20 January /2017 Forex

US stocks extend early gains as Trump’s inauguration looms Haresh Menghani

As we approach the swearing-in ceremony of Donald Trump as 45th President of the US, major US equity indices opened higher and extended gains during early hour of trading.At the time of reporting, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added over 80-points and moved above 19,800 level, while the broader S&P 500 Index added around 11-points to 2,275. Meanwhile, tech-heavy Nasdaq Comp...

18:23 20 January /2017 Forex

USD/JPY retreats back to 115.00 mark, Trump in focus Haresh Menghani

The USD/JPY pair struggled to build on to its recovery move and has now retreated around 40-pips from session peak.Currently hovering around 115.00 psychological mark, the pair lacked follow through buying interest as investors continue to reposition themselves ahead of the key event risk, Donald Trump’s inauguration speech, which would set the c...

17:46 20 January /2017 Forex

RUB faces uncertainties into 2017 – Danske Bank

Senior Economist at Danske Bank Vladimir Miklashevsky shared his mixed views on the prospect for the Russian currency.Key Quotes“Given the uncertainty on Trump’s fiscal policy plans, there are clear upside and downside risks for our forecasts on the pair. Soaring reflation expectations in the US would weigh on global emerging market sentiment and weak oil would hitthe RUB, while a...

17:23 20 January /2017 Forex

Three rate hikes seem appropriate – FOMC’s Harker Pablo Piovano

Philly Fed Patrick Harker (voter, hawkish) said on Friday that three modest rate hikes this year seems appropriate.Harker expects US consumer prices to hit the Fed’s goal this year or in 2018.He sees labour participation rate lower than he’d like.

17:23 20 January /2017 Forex

USD/CHF range-bound below 1.0100, awaits Trump’s inaugural speech Haresh Menghani

Having posted a session low at 1.0035 level, the USD/CHF pair regained traction and reversed previous session mild losses.Currently trading around 1.0070 region, off session peak level of 1.0094, a fresh wave of greenback buying interest since European opening session helped the pair to recovery from daily lows. The pair, however, remained capped...

17:23 20 January /2017 Forex

USD/MXN neutral at 21.86, US 10-year yields above 2.50% Jose Ricaurte Jaen

Currently, USD/MXN is trading at 21.86, down -0.40% on the day, having posted a daily high at 21.99 and low at 21.84 ahead of Trump's inauguration ceremony. To note, historical data indicates that USD/MXN had its highest performance clocked at +1.83% gain (Jan.10), and the lowest at -1.27% (Jan.13).Reuters reports as what to expect in the near te...

17:23 20 January /2017 Forex

AUD/USD clings to the bullish view, targets 0.7630 – UOB

FX Strategists at UOB Group see the Aussie dollar could advance towards the 0.7630 area in the next 1-3 weeks.Key Quotes“The sharp and swift rebound in AUD hit a high of 0.7575, holding just below the major 0.7580 resistance. Based on the current momentum, a move above 0.7580 would not be surprising but the prospect for a move to...

17:01 20 January /2017 Forex

EUR/USD remains neutral near term – Scotiabank

Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank Shaun Osborne noted the outlook on the pair remains on the neutral side in the short term.Key QuotesEURUSD gains overnight were easily capped just ahead of 1.07 but slippage has stalled in the low 1.06 area as North American trade picks up”.“Technically, the short-term trend higher remains intac...

17:01 20 January /2017 Forex

Canada CPI rise 1.5% y-o-y in December

According to the data released by Statistics Canada on Friday, Canadian consumer price index (CPI) climbed 1.5% y-o-y in December. From a month earlier, consumer prices declined 0.2% in December.The advance follows a 1.2% increase in November and 1.5% increase in October. Expectations were for a 1.7% advance in December. Meanwhile, core CPI (excluding automobiles) ticked higher by 02% on a monthly...

16:46 20 January /2017 Forex

Canada retail sales post 0.2% growth in November

Canadian retail sales matched expectations and recorded a tepid growth of 0.2% for November, down from 1.1% growth recorded in the previous month, Statistics Canada said on Friday. Expectations were pointing to a growth of 0.5%.Meanwhile, core sales (excluding automobiles) came-in to show a rise of 0.1% as compared to October's 1.4% and 0.2% expected. 

16:46 20 January /2017 Forex

USD/CAD approaches 1.3400 on downbeat data

The Canadian Dollar has depreciated further vs. its American neighbour on Friday, lifting USD/CAD to fresh daily peaks in the 1.3380 area.USD/CAD bid ahead of TrumpSpot met extra upside pressure after Canadian inflation figures tracked by the CPI rose at an annualized 1.5% and contracted 0.2% on a monthly basis, both readings mis...

16:46 20 January /2017 Forex

Trump's inauguration and French primary likely to dominate the weekend markets - BBH

According to the analysts at BBH, Trump's inauguration and related stories will likely dominate the weekend press.  Key Quotes“Note that the French Socialists hold the first round of their primary on Sunday.  The top two will face off on January 29.  The polls suggest that former Socialist Macron, running as an independent, will likely handily beat any Socialist candidate.  Howeve...

16:23 20 January /2017 Forex

EUR/USD shows some reaction near 1.0640, Trump on sight Pablo Piovano

EUR/USD keeps the area of session lows in the 1.0640/20 band at the end of the week amidst a moderate recovery from the US Dollar.EUR/USD focus on TrumpChoppy week for the pair so far, with gains clearly limited around the low-1.0700s and strong support emerging in the 1.0580/70 region.The erratic performance of spot reflects th...

16:23 20 January /2017 Forex

GBP/USD off session lows, still weaker below 1.2300 handle ahead of Trump Haresh Menghani

The GBP/USD pair maintained its bearish bias below 1.2300 handle, albeit has managed to bounce off around 30-pips from session low.Currently trading around 1.2290 region, a sharp contraction in UK monthly retail sales figure attracted some fresh selling pressure around the British Pound. Adding to this, renewed greenback buying interest, amid sur...

16:00 20 January /2017 Forex

Donald Trump to be inaugurated as the 45th president of the United States today - ANZ

Analysts at ANZ note that Donald Trump will be inaugurated as the 45th president of the United States today and his inaugural speech is to be written by Stephen Miller who wrote many speeches for Trump’s Presidential campaign.Key Quotes“The speech is expected to focus on structural problems within the US economy and outline an agenda for Trump’s first 100 days and beyond. Trump ou...

15:46 20 January /2017 Forex

CAD: CPI and retail sales data in the limelight - TDS

Research Team at TDS suggests that the Canada’s December CPI inflation and November retail sales will land at 8:30 amid an empty data calendar in the US.Key Quotes“TD looks for headline CPI inflation to rebound to 1.7% y/y on a 0.1% m/m increase in prices (market: 1.7% y/y, 0.0% m/m) and a sizeable base-effect, however, the risks are skewed to the downside due to the weakness in m...

15:46 20 January /2017 Forex

Gold sidelined near $1,200 ahead of Trump Pablo Piovano

The ounce troy of the precious metal is alternating gains with losses at the end of the week, currently hovering over the key $1,200 mark.Gold attention to Trump’s speechThe yellow metal is extending its rejection from recent 2-month tops around $1,215 at the end of the week, coming down to test the $1,200 neighbourhood albeit keeping its weekly gains for the fourth consecutive ti...

15:46 20 January /2017 Forex