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FOMC Preview: Focus on outlook for the federal funds rate - Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs Analysts out with their preview on what to expect from today’s FOMC monetary policy decision due at 18.00 GMT.Key Quotes:“We expect the FOMC to officially announce ... that balance sheet runoff will begin in October.As the Fed has already communicated extensively about its plan for a gradual and predict...

07:00 20 September /2017 Forex

RBA’s Ellis: Will not speculate on domestic monetary policy Dhwani Mehta

More comments flowing in from the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) Assistant Governor (Economic) Luci Ellis, as she responds to the Q & A session at the Australian Business Economists (ABE) Lunchtime Briefing.Key Headlines:07:00 20 September /2017 Forex

NZ: Q2 current account firmer than expected - Westpac Sandeep Kanihama

New Zealand’s current account deficit narrowed to 2.8% of GDP in the year to June, following a revised deficit of 2.9% last quarter, notes Satish Ranchhod, Senior Economist at Westpac.Key Quotes“The result was stronger than the average market forecast for a deficit of 3.1%, which was also our own forecast.”“The improved current account deficit was mainly due to rises in both goods...

07:00 20 September /2017 Forex

GBP/JPY rally stalls at 261.8% Fib extension Omkar Godbole

GBP/JPY trades flat lined around 150.75 levels in Asia after failing for three straight sessions to hold above 150.88, which is the 261.8% Fib extension of the move from Aug 24 low-Sep 1 high-Sep 5 low.Focus on UK retail salesUK Consumer spending as represented by the official retail sales data is seen rising 0.2%m/m and 1.4% y/y in August. The ...

07:00 20 September /2017 Forex

Japan PM Abe to delay the timing of achieving budget balance target - Reuters

Sources told Reuters that Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is set to delay the timing for balancing a primary budget from the current fiscal 2020 to later in the decade.Abe will unveil the decision on Monday at a news conference at, which is he expected to announce a snap election for Oct. 22 to take advantage of a rebound in his damaged approval ratings.

06:23 20 September /2017 Forex

RBA's Ellis - high household debt is a risk in the event of an economic shock Omkar Godbole

Reserve Bank of Australia's Assistant Governor (Economic) Luci Ellis, while speaking at the Australian Business Economists (ABE) Lunchtime Briefing, said the high household debt in Australia is a risk in the event of an economic shock. Key quotesPolicy globally will have to stay expansionary should inflation remain lowGlobal wage growth and inflation will pick up, but may take som...

06:23 20 September /2017 Forex

EUR/USD retakes 1.20 handle, all eyes on the Fed Omkar Godbole

The EUR/USD rose to a nine-day high of 1.2020 in Asia as the greenback weakened ahead of a US Federal Reserve meeting where policymakers are expected to decide on shrinking the central bank's USD 4.2 trillion in bond holdings.Forward guidance wi...

06:00 20 September /2017 Forex

GBP/USD - Will UK retail sales beat estimates and boost Pound? Omkar Godbole

Despite being overbought as per the 14-day RSI, GBP/USD found takers around the 5-DMA level of 1.3503 in Asia and rose to 1.3530 levels.Ahead of the FOMC rate decision, the GBP/USD pair could take cues from the UK retail sales due at 08:30GMT.Retail sales to beat estimates?The official data due today is expected to show reta...

05:46 20 September /2017 Forex

Abe won't waver on sales tax - Economic Adviser

According to Motoshige Itoh, a member of the Japanese government's economic and fiscal policy council, PM Abe would not waiver from his current stance to riase the sales tax if he calls a snap election. Japanese economy is witnessing longest expansion in more than a decade and that has made it easier for Abe to stick with the tax increase. "He won't cancel the tax hike as part of this campaign pla...

05:23 20 September /2017 Forex

Japanese exports surge at fastest in nearly 4 years

Japanese exports surged at the fastest pace in nearly 4 years in August on the back of booming shipments of cars and electronics.August exports rose 18.1% y/y, beating the estimate of 14.7%. This was the ninth straight month of expansion. Imports rose 15.2% in the year to August, beating the median estimate of an 11.8% increase.The trade balance came to a surplus of JPY 113.6 billion ($1.02 billio...

04:46 20 September /2017 Forex

USD/JPY Risk Reversals jump to 3-month high Omkar Godbole

The Dollar-Yen one-month risk reversals gauge jumped to a 3-month high of -0.85 on Tuesday, suggesting falling demand for downside bets, i.e. put options.25-delta risk reversals show the difference in volatility between puts and calls. A positive number indicates upside protection on the underlying forex spot [calls] is relatively more expensive. A negative numbe...

04:23 20 September /2017 Forex

AUD/JPY retreats from the 21-month high ahead of the BOJ rate decision Omkar Godbole

AUD/JPY cross retreated from the 21-month high of 89.50 as carry demand weakened on caution ahead of the Bank of Japan [BOJ} and Fed rate decisions. Weakness in the iron ore prices could be weighing over the Aussie dollar as well.BOJ could be a dudThe Bank of Japan (BoJ) is widely expected to maintain its policy stance unchanged at its meeting ending on Sept 21s...

04:00 20 September /2017 Forex

FOMC dot points in focus - ANZ Ross J Burland

Analysts at ANZ explained that the FOMC dot points will be in focus tomorrow morning. Key Quotes:"Back in June, the median estimate of FOMC members was for one more 25bp hike this year and a further three in 2018.""Will FOMC members maintain that or will they cut the forecast? If they keep the dot points as they are, a rate hike in December will become a central focus (currently 5...

03:46 20 September /2017 Forex

China Securities Journal - One-way depreciation trend has ended Omkar Godbole

China Securities Journal says that Yuan's one-way depreciation trend has ended and could see two-wat fluctuation going forward. Last week, the Chinese currency suffered its biggest weekly loss since November.The Chinese currency has a year-to-date gains of more than 7% .

03:46 20 September /2017 Forex

USD/JPY Tokyo open: 30 pip round-turn, back to square-one awaiting FOMC Ross J Burland

Currently, USD/JPY is trading at 111.54, down -0.05% on the day, having posted a daily high at 111.66 and low at 111.46.USD/JPY is relatively steady in the Tokyo opening hour, moving approx 30 pip round turn in a consolidation around the midpoint of the 111 handle while traders soak up the price action overnight and gauge th...

03:46 20 September /2017 Forex

AUD/USD: stuck around 0.80 the figure awaiting FOMC Ross J Burland

Currently, AUD/USD is trading at 0.8009, down -0.02% on the day, having posted a daily high at 0.8014 and low at 0.8006 as we await the FOMC tonight. Forex today...

03:00 20 September /2017 Forex

Preview of existing home sales for the US session - Nomura Ross J Burland

Analysts at Nomura offered a preview of the Existing home sales from the US session tonight.Key Quotes:"We expect existing home sales to increase 0.9% m-o-m in August to an annual rate of 5.49mn saar (Consensus: 0.2% to 5.45mn). In the long run, rising home prices and lean inventories may negatively affect headline existing sales. However, demand and consumer fundamentals over the...

02:46 20 September /2017 Forex

NZ: dairy prices tread water - ANZ Ross J Burland

Analysts at ANZ explained that dairy prices continued to tread water overnight. Key Quotes:"This suggests Fonterra is unlikely to downgrade its milk price forecast when its annual results are released next Monday. WMP performed better than expected, with the first contract (+5%) providing support. Lower NZ supply for August (-1.5% y/y) and a particular buyer perhaps being short, p...

02:46 20 September /2017 Forex

NZD/USD: headed for a break of 0.7334/37

Currently, NZD/USD is trading at 0.7321, up 0.05% on the day, having posted a daily high at 0.7324 and low at 0.7313.Wall Street records modest gains as FOMC meeting gets underwayNZD/USD has risen up to a consolid...

02:23 20 September /2017 Forex

FOMC preview: not expecting any substantive guidance - Nomura Ross J Burland

Analysts at Nomura offered a short preview of the FOMC meeting.Key Quotes:"We expect the primary messages from the 19-20 September FOMC meeting to focus on the commencement of the balance sheet roll off in October. That said we do not expect any additional substantive guidance or details than what has already been provided. Instead, major decisions involving the ultimate size of t...

01:46 20 September /2017 Forex