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NZ: Expect 0.3% q/q headline CPI result for the December 2016 quarter - ANZ

Phil Borkin, Senior Economist at ANZ, expects a 0.3% q/q headline CPI result for the December 2016 quarter (released 26th January) of NZ, which is a touch above the RBNZ’s November MPS pick (0.2%).Key Quotes“Annual inflation is forecast to lift to 1.2% – back in the RBNZ’s target band for the first time since Q3 2014.”“Higher petrol prices and base effects largely account ...

08:46 18 January /2017 Forex

UK inflation jumps to 1.6% - Natixis

Sylwia Hubar, Research Analyst at Natixis, notes that the UK inflation jumped to 1.6% in December boosted by rises in air fares and lower declines in prices for food and motor fuels than a year ago.Key Quotes“The inflation increased in part as producers have been passing upturns in their prices onto consumers. In the period ahead, increasing raw material costs are set to further d...

08:46 18 January /2017 Forex

EUR/JPY capped below 121 handle ahead of CPIs

The EUR/JPY cross clings onto recovery gains so far this session, having halted two back-to-back sessions of losses amid a rebound staged by USD/JPY.EUR/JPY firmer on USD/JPY pullbackThe EUR/JPY pair now gains +0.20% to trade at 120.88, unable to chew offers lined up just below 121 handle. The recovery in EUR/JPY fails to garner ...

08:23 18 January /2017 Forex

UK: PM May’s tone of the speech was constructive and optimistic - ANZ

Analysts at ANZ note that the UK PM Theresa May outlined her government’s objectives for Brexit negotiations overnight.Key Quotes“Essentially the UK wants a new partnership to include a tariff-free trade agreement, some form of customs union and a phased introduction of new arrangements. The tone of the speech was constructive and optimistic. However, it shed no light on the EU's ...

07:46 18 January /2017 Forex

US: Empire state survey details were mixed - Nomura

Research Team at Nomura notes that the US Empire State Survey’s headline index was at 6.5 in January, slightly below expectations (Nomura: 7.0, Consensus: 8.5), suggesting manufacturers in New York State reported continued growth in business activity.Key Quotes“Details were mixed, with the new orders index at 3.1, down 7.3pp from the prior reading. The unfilled orders index improv...

07:46 18 January /2017 Forex

The Grand Strategy: Fixed spheres of influence or variable shares? - BBH

In view of the analysts at BBH, the rise of the populist-nationalism over the past year or so is partly predicated on a realist view of international relations.  Key Quotes“In the realist school of thought, the nation-state is the main actor, and international relations is characterized by competition between states.”“Many take away from this that competition is competitio...

07:46 18 January /2017 Forex

US Economy: Steady as she goes – ANZ

Research Team at ANZ notes that the Dudley and Brainard spoke from the FOMC yesterday and presented their views on the US economy.Key Quotes“Dudley expects the US expansion to continue in coming years, says inflation is simply not a problem (although the Fed thinks the economy is near maximum sustainable employment) and that the USD rise may exert some downward pressure on prices....

07:46 18 January /2017 Forex

PBOC cash injections surge to record $60 billion before Lunar New Year holidays Dhwani Mehta

The Chinese central bank (PBOC) injected a record amount of funds into the financial system on increased demand for cash surges ahead of the Lunar New Year holidays starting next week, Bloomberg reports.The PBOC pumped a net 410 billion yuan ($60 billion) through open-market operations (OMOs) on Wednesday, the biggest daily addition since Bloomberg began compiling the data in 2004...

07:46 18 January /2017 Forex

China state asset regulator to tighten rules on outbound investment – RTRS

Increased capital outflows from China have fuelled serious concerns amongst the Chinese authorities, with China’s state asset regulator initiating the latest move to curb outflows, by issuing rules on outbound investment for state owned firms.Key Headline via Reuters:The regulator says it will strengthen supervision of firms' outbound investment

07:23 18 January /2017 Forex

USD/JPY ends 7-day losing streak, regains 113 ahead of US CPI Dhwani Mehta

The bulls were rescued by a bounce witnessed in the greenback across the board, lifting USD/JPY from fresh six-week lows struck at 112.57 in Asia opening trades today.The spot was last seen exchanging hands at 113.09, up +0.40% on the day, and hovering close to session highs reached at 113.14 last hour. The major is back on the bids this Wednesda...

07:23 18 January /2017 Forex

EUR/USD hovers around 1.07, awaits US data Omkar Godbole

The EUR/USD is trading in the sideways manner around 1.07 as investors await US CPI data and Yellen speech.The currency pair rose to a high of 1.0720 on Tuesday; its highest since December 8, on the back of broad based USD weakness.Eyes US CPI releaseThe consumer price index (CPI) is seen improving to 2.1% annually from the last reading of 1.7%. ...

07:23 18 January /2017 Forex

Asian stocks ex-China keep losses amid Trump’s comments Dhwani Mehta

Most major Asian indices prolong its losing streak into a third day this Wednesday, as yesterday’s massive gains in the yen versus the greenback continue exert downward pressure on the exports stocks, which in turn sent the Nikkei 225 index to fresh five-week lows.Investors turn cautious ahead of the US President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on Friday, with hopes of Trump’s fiscal spending pl...

07:00 18 January /2017 Forex

GBP/JPY drops ahead of UK wage growth data Omkar Godbole

GBP/JPY faced rejection at 140.15 (38.2% of 126.70-148.46) in the late North American session and dropped to 139.50 levels in Asia. Focus on UK dataThe UK data due for release later today is expected to show the average earnings including bonus ticked higher to 2.6% in three months to November. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is seen rising to 4.9% from 4.8%. T...

07:00 18 January /2017 Forex

Treasury yields drop as Trump trade unwinds

Treasury yields dropped on Tuesday after President-elect Donald Trump expressed concerns regarding strong dollar and criticized Republican border-tax plan.The yield on the 10-year Treasury note dropped 5.2 basis points (bps) to 2.327%. The 2-year Treasury note declined 3.7 bps to 1.135%.Treasury yields have been steadily losing height since December Fed rate hike. Moreover, markets had run ahead o...

06:46 18 January /2017 Forex

Japan seen missing debt reduction target for fiscal 2018 – Nikkei Dhwani Mehta

According to the Nikkei Asian Review, efforts to improve Japan's fiscal health are being knocked off track as lower-than-expected revenues put the fiscal 2018 target out of reach.The article reports, “Even with the global economy picking up and the yen having weakened sharply, improvements in Japan's fiscal health have been delayed. Balancing economic growth and fiscal responsibil...

06:46 18 January /2017 Forex

Brent oil - gains capped at 10-DMA on US production outlook Omkar Godbole

Brent oil ticked higher in Asia, but is having a tough time taking out the resistance offered by 10-DMA on expectations that US producers will boost their output At the time of writing, Brent oil was trading at $55.63; up 0.30% or 16 cents. Prices retreated from the high of $56.92 to $55.39 on Tuesday after the US government said the oil production set to rise towards 9 million barrels per day. Th...

06:23 18 January /2017 Forex

GBP/USD consolidates 4 big figures UK May & Trump-led rally

The GBP/USD pair embarks upon a corrective mode on Wednesday, after having faced fresh offers at 50-DMA, as the bulls consolidate the recent massive upsurge.  GBP/USD back below 1.2400, where 50-DMA intersectsGBP/USD surrenders 1.24 handle and now looks to stabilize around the mid-point of 1.23 handle amid renewed USD buying, as ...

06:00 18 January /2017 Forex

Demand is still healthy and oil “will be with us for decades”, - Saudi Aramco

Demand is still healthy and oil “will be with us for decades”, said Saudi Aramco’s chief executive Amin Nasser at the World Economic Forum in Davos.He added that the world needs to invest US $25 trillion in new oil-producing capacity over the next 25 years to meet growing demand.

06:00 18 January /2017 Forex

China spawns new debt market to ease burden on local governments - BBG

Bloomberg out with yet another headlines on the Chinese economy, this time citing that China’s government is promoting a new tool to raise funds for infrastructure projects as debt levels at municipalities mount.Key Points:China is seeking to lure more private money into infrastructure projects, while limiting its responsibility for the debt needed to fund themDeb...

05:46 18 January /2017 Forex

USD/CAD recovers from 3-month lows

USD/CAD pair recovered from the three-month low of 1.3019 in the Asian session in what appears to be a chart driven move.Eyes US CPI, Yellen speech and BOC rate decisionThe consumer price index (CPI) is expected to improve to 2.1% annually from the last reading of 1.7%. The core figure is expected to tick up to 2.2% from the prior 2.1%.USD trade...

05:46 18 January /2017 Forex